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Гродненский Форум > Клубы по интересам > Полит-изба > Тема: Re: США vs Белоруссия
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Автор Тема: Re: США vs Белоруссия  (Прочитано 47412 раз)
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« Ответ #120 : 06 Май 2005, 14:33:45 »

The administration provides financial assistance and other
resources to Belarusan democrats in preparation for next year's
presidential elections. Opposition leaders, however, warn that Mr.
Lukashenko will seek to maintain his hold on power at all costs. The
Murderer of Minsk will either rig the vote or refuse to accept a
defeat.
This is why Belarus' brave democrats plan massive street
demonstrations this fall in hopes of forcing Mr. Lukashenko's
resignation. With strong American support, they may well unleash
a "White Revolution" similar to the Rose and Orange Revolutions in
Georgia and Ukraine.
But the White revolutionaries face one major hurdle: Russia. The
Kremlin increasingly views the new democracies along its borders as
pro-American satellites, which threaten Moscow's regional strategic
predominance.
Russian President Vladimir Putin is determined to not let Minsk
go the way of Kiev and Tbilisi. His Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov
has said Russia will oppose any effort by the United States to
undermine Mr. Lukashenko's government.
Not only Russian pride is at stake. Mr. Lukashenko has
transformed Belarus into an economic and political vassal of Moscow.
Russia supplies Belarus with nearly all its oil and gas, and more
than half of Belarus' exports are sent to Russia.
More ominously, Mr. Lukashenko is a strong believer in Mr.
Putin's dream of a Great Russian empire. The Belarusan strongman has
made no secret of his desire for a formal union between Belarus and
Russia.
Throughout the 1990s, Belarus emerged as an important departure
point for Russia's weapons sales and missile-technology transfers to
Libya and Saddam Hussein's Iraq. Mr. Lukashenko is not only a menace
to his own people, but to American security interests as well.
That is why the Bush administration is right to isolate Mr.
Lukashenko's regime, while helping to bolster the country's growing
opposition movement. Yet Washington should be under no illusions:
there is a real possibility of violence and bloodshed.
In his recent address to parliament, Mr. Lukashenko denounced any
peaceful efforts toward democracy as "plain banditry." He vowed they
would not occur under any circumstances.
If Mr. Lukashenko orders a military crackdown, it probably would
be supported by the Kremlin.
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хай плачуть ті, кому ми не дістались, Хай здохнуть ті, хто нас не захотів!
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